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The Bear Traps Report
Investment Newsletter
in partnership with ACG
Your partner in New York, Washington, Beijing, Brussels and Latin America managing Political & Systemic Risk in the 21st century
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Financial Advisors, Family Offices, Hedge Funds, Portfolio Managers, Trade Desks and Retail Investors all use THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT to manage global political risk


 
 

Testimonials



The Bear Traps report delivers a rare overview, quality research without Wall Street bias."

U.S. Senator, Tim Scott

The Bear Traps Report provides a unique look at risk management, a value added perspective across all asset classes."

Rene J Canezin, Harvard Management Company

One of the most comprehensive perspectives, a look across all asset classes. It gives us a 20,000 foot view of global risk coming at us from markets, Bear Traps is excellent."

Omeir Jilani, National Bank of Abu Dhabi

With the overload sell-side research it’s easy to sort through the noise using Bear Traps. It gives me conviction when speaking to my clients about the macroeconomic landscape and how we’ve positioned their portfolios."

Shiraz Ahmed, Raymond James

The Bear Traps report is one of only two research reports our team uses."

Dan Bello, Morgan Stanley

I don't touch the markets without a long phone call with Larry (Bear Traps founder). He might very well be a market genius."

J Madejski, Founder, Auto-Trader

The Bear Traps report is the most concise, advanced finance letter I have ever read. It puts global market risks into perspective - every week. My confidence investing my clients' money is tenfold with their team in my corner."

Chris Lakian, Financial Advisor

Larry McDonald and his team have been advising me for over 20 years. The 21 Lehman Risk Indicators have been very accurate at calling market declines over the last couple of years. I highly recommend his research to any institutional investor."

Jim Rappaport, CEO, New Boston Fund

Larry McDonald give the keynote speech at our financial advisor risk summit. Bear Traps provides a unique overview of global political risks, which are moving markets like never before."

Robert Behan, President, Calamos Investments
 


THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT
Membership



Institutional

WRITTEN RESEARCH INCLUDING:
1 to 8 account users
21 Lehman Systemic Risk Indicators®
Weekly Macroeconomic Recap and Overview
ETF Capitulation Trades
Medium to Long Term Equity Asset Allocation Strategies
Weekly Credit Market Overview, Covering High Yield Investment Grade and Sovereign Government Bonds
Credit Risk Analysis
Rates (Government Bonds) Trade Ideas
Short and Long Term Credit Trade Strategies
Short and Long Term Equity Trade Strategies
Client Events and Meetings with Larry McDonald and Our Analysts
Bespoke Policy Research

CONFERENCE CALLS INCLUDING:
WEEKLY Conference Calls with Larry McDonald and one of ACG’s 22 analysts around the world, covering Latin America, Puerto Rico, Fed / ECB meetings, European political risk, China’s Systemic Risk and opportunities, and weekly market outlook.
ONE-ON-ONE WEEKLY calls with Larry McDonald covering political risk and market outlook

$499/m - Pro

WRITTEN RESEARCH INCLUDING:
1 to 2 account users
21 Lehman Systemic Risk Indicators®
Weekly Macroeconomic Recap and Overview
Macro Trade Ideas, Currency Views and High Yield
ETF Capitulation Trades
Medium to Long Term Equity Asset Allocation Strategies
Weekly Credit Market Overview, Covering High Yield Investment Grade and Sovereign Government Bonds
Client Events and Meetings with Larry McDonald and Our Analysts

CONFERENCE CALLS INCLUDING:
WEEKLY Conference Calls with Larry McDonald and one of ACG’s 22 analysts around the world, covering Latin America, Puerto Rico, Fed / ECB meetings, European political risk, China’s Systemic Risk and opportunities, and weekly market outlook.
ONE-ON-ONE WEEKLY calls with Larry McDonald covering political risk and market outlook

$249/m - Gold

WRITTEN RESEARCH INCLUDING:
Single User
21 Lehman Systemic Risk Indicators®
Weekly Macroeconomic Recap and Overview
Macro Trade Ideas, Currency Views and High Yield
ETF Capitulation Trades

CONFERENCE CALLS INCLUDING:
MONTHLY Conference calls with Larry McDonald

$135/m - Silver

WRITTEN RESEARCH INCLUDING:
Trade Alerts
Macro Recap
Medium to Long Term Strategies

GET A FREE REPORT FROM THE BEAR TRAPS

 

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THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT

 

The Bear Traps Report




 

Since 2007, 68% of stock market returns are tied to political events"

Morgan Stanley
 
 


The Bear Traps report is a weekly independent investment newsletter focusing on global political and systemic risk with actionable trade ideas. The service is tailored for asset managers, hedge funds, financial advisors, traders and more. Our report allows investors to spend a lot less time diving through research reports. We strive to get to the meat of what is moving markets.


Along with actionable trade ideas, we provide clients with a timely, first-hand look at global political market moving events. Our teams on the ground in New York, Toronto, Washington, Puerto Rico, Brussels, Dublin, Rio (Brazil) and Beijing (China) bring you closer to what is moving markets.


As governments and central banks drive markets, we turn these policy decisions into actionable trade ideas for clients around the world. Using a 7 factor model we score and rank stocks, ETFs and sectors for the perfect opportunity to deploy capital.



Since 2008, it's becoming ever more clear that politics is edging out economics as the key driver of policies"

BofA

Credit and political risks have a lot more impact on central bank policy decisions than economic data. Today, there is nothing more important than staying on top of global political systemic risk, these factors are moving markets like never before.


Our independent investment research stems from an elite team of analysts and strategists with real trading floor experience. Bear Traps was founded by Lawrence McDonald, he has spent 30 years working on Wall Street. He was formerly a senior distressed debt trader at Lehman Brothers and was part of the team that made $2 billion betting against the U.S housing market.


The Bear Traps trading ideas are centered around macro market moving events. Ideas stem from former Wall Street traders, and using a 7 factor model we score and rank stocks, ETF’s and sectors for the perfect opportunity to deploy capital.


The report will give you a complete view of the global markets, where to spot opportunities, and how to avoid risk. The letter is unique and unbiased, unlike any other research on Wall Street.


This enables our subscribers to spend more time on business development by having access to our analysts’ expert opinions and a more in-depth reach of political market moving events around the globe. Getting ahead of systemic risk coming at us from Asia, Europe and Latin America will help clients avoid substantial losses and generate above average returns.




POLITICAL RISK EVENTS MOVING MARKETS:


Subprime Crisis 2007
Lehman, Bear Sterns & Fannie & Freddie 2008
Grexit Risk 2010
Debt Ceiling 2013
Russia 2014
Central Bank Divergence 2015
Asia 2016
Brexit 2016
Turkey Coup 2016
Elections 2016

 

Lawrence McDonald

NY Times Best Selling Author, CNBC Contributor
Bear Traps Report founder

 

BEAR TRAPS on CNBC: What history says about an election surprise - November 4, 2016 How would the market react to a Donald Trump win? Larry McDonald of THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT and ACG Analytics, and Erin Gibbs of S&P Global discuss with Brian Sullivan.

Former head of US Macro Strategy at Societe Generale, 2011-2016, currently Head of Global Macro Strategy with our partner ACG Analytics in New York city.

At the height of the 2008 financial crisis, Mr. Lawrence McDonald wrote a book on the fall of Lehman Brothers, “A Colossal Failure of Common Sense.” The book is a risk manager’s guide to the right and wrong moves on Wall St, and explains why investors must stay ahead of policies coming at markets from Washington, D.C and Europe. Published in 2009 by Random House, the book hit the New York Times Best Seller’s list upon release, and is now one of the top bestselling business books in the world. "Colossal Failure" has been translated into 12 different languages, over 450,000 copies have been sold.

Additionally, Mr. McDonald has participated in four major financial crisis documentaries: BBC‘s The Love of Money, CBC‘s House of Cards, National Geographic’s Decade of the 2000’s, and Sony Pictures’ Academy Award winning documentary Inside Job.

Larry is also an European & Washington policy risk analyzer. He is a frequent guest contributor at CNBC and is a highly regarded policy risk consultant to hedge funds, family offices, asset managers and high net worth investors. His "21 Lehman systemic risk indicators" help investors get out of the way of painful risk off trades in the global markets. Notably is Larry’s involvement as a special advisor to the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC), created by Congress in 2009 to investigate domestic and global causes of the economic and financial crisis in the United States.

As a keynote speaker, Larry has delivered over 130 speeches in 17 countries highlighting classic risk management lessons. His speaking clients include; National Bank of Abu Dhabi, Hartford Funds, Franklin Templeton, Calamos funds, GAIM Moneco, Suntrust bank, Raymond James, Fidelity Investments, Institutional Investor, Walkers Global, Rand Merchant Bank, Montreal Stock Exchange, CBOE, Societe Generale and many more.

From 2004-8, Larry ran the distressed debt, high yield and convertible securities trading business at Lehman Brothers. He was considered one of the firm's most profitable traders, leading his team to over $100m in gains betting against the subprime mortgage crisis.

Visit Larry's website for more information at www.lawrencegmcdonald.com

Watch Larry's contributions to CNBC


 

Three Week Trial
THE BEAR TRAPS REPORT
Investment Newsletter

The Bear Traps Report provides weekly insights, highlighting the impact of the political world onto the global financial markets, making specific investment calls.

Try it today for only $9 for the first three weeks!

Investing from the Beating Heart of Wall Street

 

The Bear Traps Team uncovers specific opportunities in a variety of investment sectors, as they understand and share with their subscribers how these macroeconomic forces affect different asset classes. This will help investors by gauging the risk vs reward and spot the opportune moment to deploy capital in:


  1. US Credit – Full analysis of US & global Credit Markets.
  2. US Economy – In depth look at the economic conditions in the US.
  3. US Markets – Examination of equity markets, packed with trades and warning signs.
  4. Europe – Political and credit analysis of the Eurozone.
  5. Asia – Keeping a watchful eye on China and Japanese risks.
  6. Emerging Markets – Always searching for the great buy signals, and risks.
  7. Commodities – Tracking gold, oil and the mining markets.
  8. Trading Ideas – Our highest conviction short and long term trades.



Our Team includes 22 analysts in New York, Washington D.C., Toronto, Dublin, Frankfurt, Beijing, Puerto Rico and Brazil.



 
 

Why You Should Subscribe

 

Our readers receive specific investments alerts, when to enter a position and when to sell. Our actionable ideas are derived from political market moving events. i.e Federal Reserve policy decisions. Our vast resources cover; fixed income, stocks, commodities, ETF’s and volatility. Bear Traps reveals the dangers of future political moves and guides investors along the pathway to safety. Subscribers will get the very best actionable ideas and risk management indicators from one of the most recognized independent teams in the industry.